Daily Comment: Steel demand rebounds, steel prices are oscillating

Today's hot spot

Today, the black commodity futures showed an overall trend of rising and falling. Among them, the contract of finished products weakened, the raw material contracts were obviously stronger, and the profit of the disk began to fall after hitting the high point. The core logic lies in the positive impact of environmental inspection on the fundamentals of raw materials and finished products. There is a cash in the mood. It is expected that this pattern will continue in the short term and the profit on the disk will still narrow. For the short-term snail trend, it is still in the period of shock, and the bargain-hunting operation is the main one. In terms of spot, today's varieties are on the rise and fall. The rebar spot is slightly weak. The main reason is that the demand is weak in the near future, but the fundamentals remain the same. The difference between supply and demand still exists. Although there is cash in the mood, the net inventory will form the price. Strong support, short-term upswing still needs further favorable stimulus and demand recovery, short-term domestic steel prices are expected to fluctuate.

Macro hotspot

1. [Agricultural products futures closed down, doubles down 3.4%] Beans fell 2.7%, beans, manganese silicon fell more than 1%, rapeseed, Huxi, Zheng coal, thread, hot coil, eggs, Shanghai gold, Shanghai silver, white sugar and so on closed down. Apple closed up 2.7%, iron ore, coking coal, Shanghai zinc, Shanghai lead, coke rose more than 1%, Shanghai nickel, crude oil, Shanghai aluminum, PVC, rubber, Zheng cotton, corn, glass, Shanghai copper, Zheng alcohol, etc. closed up .

2, [index after the afternoon shrinkage consolidation, Hainan plate welcoming strong back pumping]

The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,161.50 points, up 0.79%, with a turnover of 189 billion.

The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,707.80 points, up 0.76%, with a turnover of 254.8 billion.

The GEM closed at 1856.87 points, up 0.24%, with a turnover of 85.5 billion.

3. [Li Keqiang: China and Japan have strong economic complementarities. The two countries will sign a series of cooperation agreements.] Premier Li Keqiang published a signed article in the Asahi Shimbun in Japan: China and Japan have strong economic complementarities in the new wave of technology and industrial revolution. There are broad prospects for expanding practical cooperation in energy conservation and environmental protection, technological innovation, high-end manufacturing, finance and finance, sharing economy, medical care and other fields. The cooperation between the two countries in third-party market has great potential. During the visit, the two countries will witness the signing of a series of cooperation agreements in the fields of health and medical science, service industry and social security. The Chinese side will sign a local currency swap agreement with the Japanese side and announce to the Japanese qualified foreign investors ( RQFII) quota.

4. [Taiwan MediaTek is approved to sell chips to ZTE] Taiwan regulators authorized smartphone chip supplier Taiwan Unicom to resume selling products to ZTE, after the US supplier was banned from selling parts to ZTE. A boost from China Telecom.

Market today

Raw material

Billet: The price of the national billet market is weakening. Tangshan, Shanxi steel slabs fell 10 yuan / ton, Jiangsu steel slabs fell 40 yuan / ton, Shandong steel slabs rose 10 yuan / ton. Today, Tangshan billet straight transaction is general, warehousing spot 3660 or so tax-included outbound, low-priced small transactions, high-priced resources are blocked, low-priced resources of downstream finished products are generally low, the overall billet is down 10 yuan / ton, The current carbon 150 billet reported 3590 yuan / ton, 165 rectangular billet 3610 yuan / ton, 20MnSi billet 3690-3710 yuan / ton. Today, Shandong steel billet rose 10 yuan / ton, Q235 billet factory 3660-3670 yuan / ton, steel mills can take orders, save space, downstream demand volume, middlemen rallies.

Domestic mines: The market of domestically produced main producing areas is stable. Prices in North China, East China, Northeast China and South China are temporarily stable. Specifically, North China-Tangshan 66% dry-based tax-included cash factory 625-635 yuan / ton, moved to the West 66% dry-based tax-included cash out of 610-620 yuan / ton, Qian'an 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 635-645 yuan / ton; Zunhua 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 610-620 yuan / ton

Imported mines: The price of traders' offer is 5-10 yuan higher than yesterday, the mainstream PB powder price in Shandong is 475, and the mainstream PB powder price in Tangshan is 485. Although the futures disk oscillated stronger, the trader's offer price has not been adjusted, but the premium The space is narrowed. In the morning, the market is mostly based on inquiry, traders have no intention of low-priced shipments, and steel mills are in a wait-and-see state. In the afternoon, as the disk continued to rise, traders were more priced, and steel mills generally accepted the price increase. The two sides were in the game stage and the transactions were general.

Steel spot

Construction steel: Today's domestic construction steel prices are adjusted in a narrow range. In terms of specific prices, the average price of 25 major cities nationwide was 4,168 yuan / ton, down 10 yuan / ton from the previous trading day, including 10-40 yuan / ton in East China, Northeast China and Northwest China; the Lord. At present, with the weak market demand, the high turnover is weak, and the current profit in the circulation area is still considerable. The cash out of the business is increasing, and some market prices are slightly loose, but the market performance is still relatively light. On the whole, it is expected that domestic construction steel will continue to fluctuate tomorrow.

Hot-rolled coil: Today, the hot rolling price of 24 major cities in the country is consolidating. The average price of 3.0 hot-rolled coils is 4262 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the national average price of 4.75 hot-rolled coils is 4204. Yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Today's futures market is weak and volatile, and merchants are more wait-and-see. The prices of local markets are mixed, but the range is small. Recently, with the rapid increase in prices, downstream users are hesitant to purchase, and the overall market turnover is weak. However, there are not many new resources available at present, and the pressure on merchants is not high, so they are not willing to sell too low. In the short-term, under the pattern of low inventory, low demand and high cost, the market price is still dominated by a narrow range. In addition, today's billet market price fell by 10 yuan / ton, the current price of carbon billet is 3,590 yuan / ton. On the whole, it is expected that the price of the hot-rolled market will fluctuate tomorrow.

Plate: Today's domestic plate market price consolidation operation, the average price of 20mm medium and heavy plate in 23 major cities nationwide was 4411 yuan / ton, down 1 yuan / ton from the previous trading day. Affected by the weak shock of futures, the market mentality has changed, and the willingness of merchants to cash in has increased. However, the current market inventory resources are relatively small, the supply of resources is limited in the short term, and the order price of steel mills is still at a high level. As most steel mills have more abundant orders, the intention of short-term new orders is smaller, and the order cost of steel mills is opposite. Strong support. However, with the rapid increase in prices, downstream users are hesitant to purchase, and the overall transaction is weak. In addition, today's billet market price fell by 10 yuan / ton, the current price of carbon billet is 3,590 yuan / ton. On the whole, it is expected that the price of the plate market will fluctuate tomorrow.

Cold rolling: Today, the mainstream of cold rolling prices in the country is stable. Price: 1.0 national cold rolling average price of 4644 yuan / ton, compared with the previous working day price rose 2 yuan / ton. The main market price: Shanghai market 1.0mm WISCO coils offer 4570 yuan / ton, Guangzhou market 1.0mm anang steel coil offer 4620 yuan / ton, Tianjin market 1.0mm anang steel coil offer 4480 yuan / ton. Market: Today's futures market fluctuates and runs, the spot performance is average, and the transaction is lower than yesterday. Downstream: Due to the industry's off-season problems, large-scale home appliance companies' purchases in the second quarter have declined compared with the first quarter, and downstream manufacturers have also focused on on-demand purchases. The overall market is cautious. On the whole, it is expected that the cold rolling price will fluctuate weakly tomorrow.

Profiles: Today, the domestic market for industrial corners is stable and weak, and the mainstream price of H-beams is stable. Specifically, the overall price of the steel market in Tangshan area is slightly weak. Although the early price is stable, the intraday work slot has increased the preferential price of 10-20 yuan/ton. Only some low-priced angle steels can be sold, and the overall transaction is general. Downstream commerce and trade on-demand purchase, plus steel slabs continue to cut 10 yuan / ton this afternoon, the market is more pessimistic; East China steel prices are consolidating, the actual transaction is 10-20 yuan / ton loose, given the current mainstream steel prices are still higher In addition, some specifications are in short supply, so the price is still supported; the price of South China's steel in early trading continued to hold steady. Due to the heavy rains in Guangzhou yesterday, the construction of the site has a certain impact. Today's transaction is not ideal, but the current market resources are generally low. There is a big support for the price. On the whole, the profit of the rolling mill is currently squeezed by the billet, and some of the rolled products are shut down for maintenance and repair, and the steel billet price support is weak. On the other hand, the rolling mills are affected by the increase of the factory warehouse, the willingness to ship is strengthened, and the long-flow process manufacturers' policies are more firm, and some specifications are short. It is expected that the price of the national industrial corner tanks will fluctuate or run tomorrow, and the price of H-beams may be slightly higher. strong.

Steel pipe: Today, the price of domestic steel pipe has dropped. According to the variety: the average price of welded pipe 4 inch *3.75mm is 4421 yuan/ton, which is 4 yuan/ton lower than the previous trading day; galvanized pipe 4 inch *3.75mm nationwide The price was 5,272 yuan / ton, down 5 yuan / ton from the previous trading day; the average price of seamless pipe Ф 108 * 4.5mm was 5,259 yuan / ton, down 5 yuan / ton from the previous trading day. In terms of pipe factory, the price of Tianjin Youfa, Lida and Juncheng was raised by RMB 20/ton, and the hot rolling price of Linyi mainstream seamless pipe factory was RMB 4,750-4,850/ton. In terms of welded pipes and galvanized pipes, the market transactions were not satisfactory, and traders did not choose to go up with the tube factory. The market mentality was relatively pessimistic in the short term. In terms of seamless pipes, the market transactions were poor, traders often reduced inventory, and short-term shipments were the mainstay. It is expected that the market price of steel pipe will be weakened and run at a weaker level tomorrow.

Futures: Today, the domestic black-based commodity period in addition to iron ore to make up, the other varieties are slightly adjusted, the transaction shrinks, a small reduction in positions. Specifically, today's disk maintained a narrow range of shocks, the spot market demand is weak, the high turnover is weak, the disk profit remains around 1200, still at a relatively high level, the disk short-selling steel mill profit funds continue to enter, resulting in the weakest performance of finished products The spot market transactions also performed relatively lightly. From the point of view of the Snail Day K, today's thread receives a small Yinxian, which has fallen for 4 consecutive days. In the short term, it is still in a callback. Waiting for the market to cover the 3600 gap, the above suggestions, stabilize the bargain-hunting and pay attention to the position.

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feature

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distribution

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classification

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Classification by size of granularity

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standard

Scale graphite standard GB T 3518-2008

apply

refractory

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dope

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