Analysis of the situation of machine tool industry in the first three quarters of 2009 (3)

Affected by the domestic market demand policy, the import value of machine tool products in June was US$990 million, down 3.9% year-on-year and 41.8% month-on-month. The monthly import volume increased significantly. It is the closest month to the same level in 2008 this year. The highest value in 8 months. Mainly due to the rapid increase in the import of metal processing machine tools, the monthly import volume reached 660 million US dollars, an increase of 10.7%. In the first half of the year, the total import value of the whole industry was 4.83 billion US dollars, down 18.5% year-on-year. The decline was 3.1 percentage points higher than that of January-May.

2. The large-scale heavy-duty machine tool market is performing well

Import and export of large and heavy-duty machine tools has grown rapidly this year. In the first half of the year, under the trend of year-on-year decline in the export of metal processing machine tools, CNC milling machines, CNC grinding machines and CNC gear processing machines increased by more than 50% year-on-year. The average unit price of large-scale machine tools such as gantry machining centers, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC gantry milling, CNC forging or stamping machine tools has doubled, with 241%, 413%, 190% and 219% respectively. The export performance of heavy-duty machine tools is better than other products, mainly in recent years, heavy machine tool enterprises have increased their investment in technological transformation in product structure adjustment, and formed a group of products with certain competitiveness. In addition, in this financial crisis, heavy-duty machine tools were relatively less affected in the entire industry.

The national stimulating domestic demand policy has increased investment in infrastructure construction. As China's domestic machine tools can not fully meet market demand, it also provides opportunities for major machine tool manufacturers in the world. In June, China's imported metal processing machine tools showed a trend of price reduction, the number decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, the amount increased by 10.7%, and the average unit price of imports increased by 15.3%. In the first half of the year, imports of Longmen Machining Center, CNC boring and milling machine, CNC gantry milling, CNC surface grinder and CNC gear processing machine increased by 15.0%, 37.6%, 159.8%, 23.4% and 86.3%, respectively. The average unit price of CNC boring and milling machines and CNC gantry milling has more than doubled.

In response to the financial crisis, this year the State Council successively reviewed and approved the adjustment and revitalization plans for the ten key industries. The planning period is 2009-2011. The equipment manufacturing industry adjustment and revitalization plan is one of them. Recently, large and heavy-duty machine tools are in high demand and become hot spots. Some capable companies have begun or are entering this field. Need to be reminded that enterprises should thoroughly study key industry adjustment and revitalization plans, extensively investigate the market demand for large and heavy-duty machine tools, carefully analyze the relationship between current heavy-duty machine tool capacity and demand, and analyze the market demand for heavy machinery tools in the world and China in the future. Rational analysis and scientific decision-making can effectively avoid overcapacity.

3. Machine tool market demand adjustment

Since the beginning of this year, the demand for China's major export markets for machine tools, such as Europe, the United States and Japan, has fallen sharply. Due to the impact of the international financial crisis, the machine tools market in India, Brazil and Russia, which rose faster last year, is also at double-digit speed. Sliding down. In the first half of the year, the cumulative export of machine tools dropped from 37.1% at the end of last year to -31.3%, which was a sudden drop after years of rapid growth. However, the export volume of Asia and Mexico, represented by South Korea, Malaysia, and Myanmar, has not declined from January to June compared with the same period in 2008. On the contrary, it is still rising, and the export volume is positive growth year-on-year, accounting for the total export value of metal processing machine tools. The share increased by more than 1 percentage point over the same period in 2008. And the export rankings have improved to varying degrees. South Korea has risen from the 8th place to the 3rd place last year, and Malaysia has risen from the 14th place in 2008 to the 6th place. It is worth noting that China's exports to processing centers in South Korea, Myanmar and Turkey have doubled, ranking the top three exports of processing centers from January to June, respectively, while the export prices of these three countries were ranked in the same period last year. After 15th, the average export price is also more than double the average export price of the processing center. As far as the current situation is concerned, there are great business opportunities in ASEAN and other regions, and we must firmly grasp them; while India, Brazil, Russia and other markets are declining, they are still higher than the 2007 level, and should be our focus. In the first half of the year, the export growth of Longmen Machining Center, CNC boring and milling machine, CNC gantry milling, CNC surface grinder and CNC gear processing machine were all above 50%, which became the main growth point of export. Enterprises should adopt market diversification strategies, optimize product mix, tap potential markets, and strive to expand exports.

In the first half of the year, among the top 10 machine tool importers in China, Asia has 3 seats (Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea), Europe has 6 seats (Germany, Italy, Switzerland, Austria, France, and Spain), and one is the United States. China's imports of machine tools from Asia and the United States have all declined at a double-digit rate. However, the European camp represented by Germany has seen a positive growth in the growth of machine tools imported into China in the first half of the year. Except for Switzerland, the increase rate is higher than 20%. And the average price is generally higher than the overall level. According to the recent news released by the European Machine Tool Industry Cooperation Committee (CECIMO), the prospects for European manufacturing are still grim. It is expected to maintain investment in new machine tool products through the promotion of export markets. They first hope for the Chinese and Indian markets. The Chinese machine tool market is still the focus of the world's attention, and the import of European machine tools has increased, reflecting the changes in the market demand structure.

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