The demand for colored energy-consuming industries is adjusted to focus

The China Electricity Council announced a report recently, saying that the degree of losses in power companies is still deepening. With the increase in losses of power generation companies, it is the forecast that China Power Union will increase the power gap year by year, and this will cause concern about the development of power supply and demand situation, demand side management and coal-electricity linkage.

Five major groups thermal power loss of 18 billion yuan
According to the analysis and forecast report of the national power supply and demand and economic operation situation released by the China Electricity Council in the first half of 2011, the thermal power profit decreased sharply in June, the profit of hydropower enterprises decreased year by year, and the profit of nuclear power enterprises decreased significantly. From January to June, thermal power production enterprises realized a total profit of 8.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 48.3%, and the decline continued to increase. From January to July, the thermal power business of the five major power generation groups lost 18.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.3 billion yuan, and the monthly loss continued to expand.

In analyzing the reasons for this phenomenon, the National Bureau of Statistics said that mainly this year, the power industry is still suffering from the huge pressure caused by rising coal prices to production and operation and power supply. Although the on-grid tariffs of some provinces increased slightly in April, they still have not reversed the operational difficulties of power companies.

It is understood that since 2003, China's coal price has increased by more than 200%, and the sales price has increased by less than 40%. The systemic contradiction between market coal and planned electricity is prominent.

The data shows that since March this year, the price of the coal market has risen significantly. For example, Qinhuangdao Port 5500 Dakar Shanxi Youmix Coal, the average price in June rose by 71.6 yuan per ton in March, making the thermal power enterprises that have already suffered losses generally have abnormal operations. difficult.

At the same time as coal prices are high, coal stocks are also lit up with red light. Taking Central China as an example, coal stocks in power plants in the region are currently tight. Among them, Hunan's coal stocks are about 1.4 million tons, and the specific requirements for power plants can only last for 12 days. The winter storage coal, which is related to the success or failure of winter, is also facing great difficulties. Judging from the current situation, there may be a possibility of decompression of thermal power in September and October, but this year's wet season ends earlier, and the possibility of autumn fall is also small, which means that this year's winter power cuts are also limited. Will be a foregone conclusion.

High-energy-consuming industry demand regulation
The China Electricity Council believes that the situation of power shortages in the next few years will be more tense than in the later period of the “11th Five-Year Plan”. The power shortage in some areas will be larger and the gap will be even larger. It is estimated that by 2012, the country's largest power gap will reach 50 million kilowatts, and by 2013 will reach 70 million kilowatts. From the point of view of electricity consumption, the current industrial enterprises, especially steel, building materials, nonferrous metals and other industries have strong demand for electricity.

According to the data released by the National Energy Administration, the six high-energy-consuming industries such as electricity, steel, building materials, nonferrous metals, chemicals and petrochemicals are still the main driving force for electricity growth. The total electricity consumption is 887.3 billion kWh, accounting for the whole society. 48% of electricity consumption contributed 42.7% to the growth of electricity consumption in the whole society.

In the context of a marked rise in coal prices in the market and the continued loss of thermal power companies, the China Electricity Council believes that domestic power generation companies have lost their self-digesting capacity to increase the cost of coal prices. Therefore, the coal-electricity linkage mechanism should be implemented and improved in a timely manner, and the electricity price should be adjusted in a timely manner to ensure that the coal price and electricity price linkage are in place. It is reported that the CLP has proposed in the plan formulated in 2010 to gradually increase the on-grid price and sales price every year.

Experts in the power industry said that under the constraints of the national energy conservation and emission reduction policies, some high-energy and high-pollution projects that were suspended in 2010 in some places have been transferred to the first half of this year, which has become an important factor in the sharp rise in power demand. As always, the high-energy-consuming industry has become a major consumer of electricity, showing the urgency of the current industrial restructuring in China. Changing the power structure and implementing energy conservation and emission reduction will remain the focus of work in the second half of the year.

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