Jinrui Futures: This week, Lun Aluminum is not surprised that Shanghai Aluminum is flat.

This week, the LME Metals Annual Meeting was held. The trend of copper and aluminum in the base metals was relatively stable, and metals such as nickel, lead, and zinc were relatively strong. Lun Aluminum’s overall trend was weak this week. Although prices continued to rebound last week, the price of Aluminium fell back and the upper shadow line was longer, indicating that the bullish momentum was insufficient. It fell on Tuesday, engulfing the room for a rise on Monday. Prices fluctuated slightly around 2600 on Thursday and Thursday.

Affected by the external disk, Shanghai Aluminum also made waves this week. The main contract of 0612 was consolidating around 20,000. In the case of flat aluminum trading, spot stocks have a greater impact on prices this week. At present, the spot supply is not as tight as before the holiday. At the same time, as the recent arrival volume increases, the spot price is relatively weak. At the same time, as the downstream consumer manufacturers received the goods are not active, spot aluminum prices fell this week, including the Guangdong market this week, down 700 yuan / ton.

Aluminium is still weakly consolidating around 2600, forming a small platform for short-term price operation. If the stock market stands on that position, it is expected to hit a forward high, otherwise it will go down. Domestically, this week's apparent inventory increased by 20,720 tons, a larger increase, with a total inventory of 37,074 tons. The large increase in inventory shows that the current supply is slowing, while Shanghai Aluminum may return to a weak pattern. The market outlook continued to focus on the performance of Lon Alco near 2600. If it fails to stand up to this position effectively, it will mainly rely on short-term thinking.

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