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It is understood that the principles for the development of electricity during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period are: to give priority to the development of hydropower; to optimize the development of coal-fired power; to develop nuclear power efficiently; to actively promote the production of new energy; to moderately develop centralized natural gas power generation; and to develop distributed generation according to local conditions.
Despite various problems such as immigration, environmental protection, and geological disasters, hydropower development is still the first place in the “12th Five-Year Plan†for power.
Recently, Ouyang Changyu, deputy secretary-general of the China National Electric Power Co., Ltd. introduced that the "12th Five-Year Plan" for power development has been submitted to the National Development and Reform Commission, the Energy Bureau, the Electricity Regulatory Commission and other functional departments and will be introduced during the year. It is understood that the principles for the development of electricity during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period are: to give priority to the development of hydropower; to optimize the development of coal-fired power; to develop nuclear power efficiently; to actively promote the production of new energy; to moderately develop centralized natural gas power generation; and to develop distributed generation according to local conditions.
Although hydropower development has encountered doubts in the industry due to environmental issues, Ouyang Changyu believes that hydropower can be better developed as long as the hydropower projects are coordinated in the planning, control the project construction, and do a good job in environmental protection and resettlement. From a time perspective, the sooner and better the hydropower development is.
It is understood that 80% of the nation's hydropower resources are distributed in western regions such as Sichuan, Yunnan, and Tibet. From 2011 to 2020, the scale of total hydropower production in the southwest region is more than 100 million kilowatts. The focus of hydropower development during the 12th Five-Year Plan period is also in the Southwest. According to the plan, 6 hydropower bases in the western region, such as the Jinsha River, Yalong River, Dadu River, Lancang River, Nujiang River, and the upper reaches of the Yellow River, will be developed to promote the development of the Brahmaputra and other Tibetan basins.
"CPI will show a downward trend in the second half of this year. The economic downturn and macroeconomic policies may ease. This is similar to the situation in 2004 and 2008. At that time, the sub-industry shares that were clearly supported by specific industries and policies rose. Water conservancy and hydropower belongs to a specific industry that the policy explicitly supports. Therefore, they are optimistic about the industry, "a security analyst who asked to be anonymous told reporters.
According to reports, according to the “12th Five-Year Plan†for power, the national installed capacity for conventional hydropower in 2015 is expected to be about 284 million kilowatts. By 2020, the installed capacity of hydropower in the country is expected to reach about 330 million kilowatts. In 2015, the planned installed capacity of pumped-storage power stations will be about 41 million kilowatts, and about 60 million kilowatts by 2020. In the next ten years, the total amount of investment in water conservancy will reach 4 trillion yuan, or 400 billion yuan annually. Compared to 2010, the total investment in water conservancy construction in China will be doubled by 200 billion yuan.
"In the second half of the year, the pace of investment in water conservancy and hydropower will accelerate." The above analysts believe that investment in the first half of this year is lower than the progress, and the investment in fixed assets for water conservancy from January to May is 101.5 billion yuan, which is a difference from the target value of 400 billion yuan for the whole year. Farther away, the Ministry of Water Resources may issue a policy in July. The state will actively increase the power of general transfer payments, and the central government will increase its tilt to the infrastructure construction in the west.
Industry insiders believe that in addition to national policy support, incidental investment opportunities are also highlighted. In May of this year, some provinces in China suffered from a rare drought in 50 years, followed by drastic droughts and floods, and the ills of water conservancy and hydropower facilities were exposed. The two major sudden events of drought resistance and flood control made the water sector in the capital market active. Recently, Anhui Water Resources continued to be strong, hitting a record high of 16.31 yuan, and Guangdong Water and Power and Qianjiang Water were equally compelling.
According to the analysis, the market related to water conservancy and hydropower equipment will have a capacity of up to 228 billion yuan during the "12th Five-Year Plan" period. Among them, the domestic market capacity of the pump industry will reach 70 billion yuan, and the average annual growth rate is expected to reach 15%. The application of wire and cable in water conservancy projects is also quite extensive.
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